On-Chain Alert BuilderTRINITY EXCLUSIVE

Trinity exclusive model

This metric is a proprietary Trinity Insights model. Its formula, inputs, weights and parameters are NOT disclosed. The page documents only the output (bounded scale, interpretation zones, historical context). Access to the score and its time series is via the REST API and the MCP server, subject to the required tier.

What is it?

The On-Chain Alert Builder is a no-code tool to design, test and save custom alert rules on key on-chain metrics (MVRV, Puell Multiple, NUPL, Reserve Risk, Trinity Composite Score, Market Cycle Phase). Users assemble up to 4 conditions (metric + operator + threshold) joined by AND/OR, name their rule and save it in their browser (localStorage). A backtest button replays 10 years of history to measure trigger frequency and sensitivity.

How to read

The interface presents as a visual rule builder with blocks to assemble. Each block represents a condition (metric + operator + threshold). Blocks are connected by AND or OR. The 'Backtest (10y)' button measures how many times the rule would have fired historically. A sensitivity indicator (green/amber/red) summarises whether the rule is healthy (1-5 triggers per 4-year cycle), too sensitive (>5) or too restrictive (<1).

Key zones

The most useful alerts combine indicators from different categories: a valuation indicator (MVRV, NUPL) + a cycle indicator (Pi Cycle, Mayer) + a sentiment indicator (reserve risk, STH-SOPR). Triple confirmation drastically reduces false positives. Default thresholds proposed by the tool are calibrated on each metric's historical extremes, offering a reliable starting point for customisation.

What to observe

Test your alerts on historical data (backtest) before activating them. The tool includes a simulator that replays the last 10 years of data and shows when your alerts would have triggered. If an alert fires more than 5 times per year, thresholds are probably too sensitive. If it never fires in 10 years, thresholds may be too restrictive. Aim for 1-3 triggers per cycle for a quality indicator.

Historical context

On-chain alert systems were historically reserved for institutions using professional APIs (>$500/month). Trinity's no-code approach democratises this capability by allowing any user to build alerts as sophisticated as those of quantitative desks, without writing a single line of code. The idea is inspired by automation tools like Zapier, applied to on-chain analysis.

Expert notes

⚠️ Trinity Exclusive Model - this phase delivers the designer + backtest entirely client-side (rules persist in browser localStorage). Live continuous monitoring with email / PWA push notifications is planned in the Monitoring backend sprint (cron + notification service). Beware of overfitting: building an alert that perfectly captures the last 3 tops does not guarantee it will capture the next - the historical sample is tiny. Aim for 1-3 triggers per cycle for a quality indicator rather than an ultra-precise rule.

Common mistakes to avoid

Creating dozens of alerts with different thresholds 'to miss nothing' is counterproductive - it creates noise and alert fatigue. Fewer, better-calibrated alerts are always worth more than excess. Moreover, a triggered alert is NOT an indication for immediate action - it is an invitation to deepen analysis. The best analysts use alerts to know when to look, not when to act.

Programmatic access

REST API

curl -sS \
  'https://api.trinityinsights.io/api/v1/onchain/on-chain-alert-builder/history?days=90' \
  -H 'X-API-Key: $TRINITY_API_KEY'

MCP server

{
  "tool": "get_chart_value",
  "metric_id": "on-chain-alert-builder",
  "timeframe": "1y"
}

Required tier: performance. See the pricing grid for the tier list and the MCP documentation for multi-client configuration.

Related metrics

• trinity-composite-score
• mvrv-classic
• reserve-risk
• market-cycle-phase

Institutional disclaimer

Trinity Insights is an educational and analytical tool. The metric above does not constitute investment advice. Trinity Insights is not a Crypto-Asset Service Provider (CASP) registered under MiCA Regulation (EU) 2023/1114. See the full disclaimer.