Smart Money Supply RotationTRINITY EXCLUSIVE
EXCLUSIVE — Supply held by Smart Money versus Tourist cohorts over time (level view, default): the two lines cross as supply rotates between strong and weak hands. Toggle to the net 1-month rotation oscillator (smart minus tourist flow) — strongly positive = rotation toward strong hands near bottoms, negative = toward weak hands near tops.
Trinity exclusive model
This metric is a proprietary Trinity Insights model. Its formula, inputs, weights and parameters are NOT disclosed. The page documents only the output (bounded scale, interpretation zones, historical context). Access to the score and its time series is via the REST API and the MCP server, subject to the required tier.
What is it?
By default (Level view), this chart plots the amount of Bitcoin held by each cost-basis cohort over time: Smart Money (low cost basis) and Tourists (high cost basis). The two lines cross as supply rotates between strong and weak hands. A toggle switches to the Rotation view: a single net one-month rotation oscillator (Smart Money flow minus Tourist flow).
How to read
Level view: when the Smart Money supply line rises while the Tourist line falls, supply is rotating toward strong hands (accumulation, a constructive structure) ; the inverse configuration describes distribution, often late in a rally. Rotation view: the oscillator above zero = rotation toward strong hands, below zero = toward weak hands ; near zero = a balanced market.
Key zones
Level view: divergence of the two lines (Smart Money supply rising, Tourist falling) = structural accumulation ; crossing / convergence = regime transition. Rotation view: above zero = rotation toward strong hands, below zero = toward weak hands, near zero = low rotation.
What to observe
Watch zero-line crossings and the amplitude of the mirror flows: persistent Smart Money accumulation during price weakness is one of the most constructive underlying structures ; persistent distribution amid euphoria is its inverse warning.
Historical context
The deep accumulation phases of past bear markets translated into sustained rotation of supply from late hands to strong hands, well before price recovered.
Expert notes
⚠️ Trinity Exclusive Model — Both flows are signed and expressed in the same unit (BTC), making their mirror directly readable. The scale stays linear because signed changes are meaningless in logarithmic form. Cost-basis rotation complements age rotation without replacing it.
Common mistakes to avoid
Supply migration between cohorts neither creates nor destroys Bitcoin — it redistributes who holds at what cost. A single month is noisy ; look for persistence over several months.
Programmatic access
REST API
curl -sS \
'https://api.trinityinsights.io/api/v1/onchain/smart-money-supply-rotation/history?days=90' \
-H 'X-API-Key: $TRINITY_API_KEY'MCP server
{
"tool": "get_chart_value",
"metric_id": "smart-money-supply-rotation",
"timeframe": "1y"
}Required tier: performance. See the pricing grid for the tier list and the MCP documentation for multi-client configuration.
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Institutional disclaimer
Trinity Insights is an educational and analytical tool. The metric above does not constitute investment advice. Trinity Insights is not a Crypto-Asset Service Provider (CASP) registered under MiCA Regulation (EU) 2023/1114. See the full disclaimer.