Realized Price Rolling 1Y
Realized Price smoothed with a one-year rolling mean. The annual smoothing strips short-term oscillation to expose the calm macro trajectory of the aggregate cost basis across a market cycle.
What is it?
This metric applies a one-year rolling mean to Realized Price. The annual smoothing strips short-term oscillations to expose the underlying trajectory of the aggregate cost basis at the cycle scale. Recomputed from native realized price.
How to read
The slope is the main information: a rising slope indicates net accumulation at increasing prices; a flat or slight decline indicates distribution or capitulation. The 1-year smoothed version reacts slowly and confirms macro trends rather than short-term moves.
Key zones
The smoothed level acts as a baseline cost floor: spot price rarely crosses below it durably, those crossings having historically coincided with capitulation phases. Enable the BTC overlay to situate spot.
What to observe
Watch slope inflections: a flattening after a rise often marks a cycle transition. Compare the distance between spot price and the smoothed Realized Price to gauge valuation extension.
Historical context
The 1-year smoothed Realized Price has seen only rare declines, concentrated on major cycle capitulations. Its slope flattened ahead of each major market transition, offering a more stable macro reference than raw realized price.
Expert notes
The annual smoothing introduces about a six-month lag on inflections - the cost of a robust macro reading. Combine with raw realized price to catch reversals earlier.
Common mistakes to avoid
The 1-year smoothing is not a precise tradable support level: it is an underlying average. Its slope matters more than its exact value. Do not interpret it as a price target.
Programmatic access
REST API
curl -sS \
'https://api.trinityinsights.io/api/v1/onchain/realized-price-rolling-1y/history?days=90' \
-H 'X-API-Key: $TRINITY_API_KEY'MCP server
{
"tool": "get_chart_value",
"metric_id": "realized-price-rolling-1y",
"timeframe": "1y"
}Required tier: performance. See the pricing grid for the tier list and the MCP documentation for multi-client configuration.
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Institutional disclaimer
Trinity Insights is an educational and analytical tool. The metric above does not constitute investment advice. Trinity Insights is not a Crypto-Asset Service Provider (CASP) registered under MiCA Regulation (EU) 2023/1114. See the full disclaimer.