Elastic Profit SupplyTRINITY EXCLUSIVE
EXCLUSIVE — Measures actually liquid profit (not paper profit from dormant coins). Reveals real sell-side pressure potential.
Trinity exclusive model
This metric is a proprietary Trinity Insights model. Its formula, inputs, weights and parameters are NOT disclosed. The page documents only the output (bounded scale, interpretation zones, historical context). Access to the score and its time series is via the REST API and the MCP server, subject to the required tier.
What is it?
Elastic Profit Supply crosses two dimensions rarely combined: the profit/loss status of each UTXO AND the historical liquidity behaviour of the entity holding it. A coin in profit held by an 'illiquid' address (HODLer) is not an immediate selling threat. A coin in profit held by a 'liquid' address (active trader) is more so. By filtering supply in profit by historical propensity to spend, this metric isolates 'true potential selling pressure' — supply that is not only profitable but also in the hands of actors who tend to realise their profits.
How to read
The chart shows the volume of BTC in profit held by liquid entities (supply in profit minus hodled or lost supply). When this value is high and rising, potential sell pressure is increasing. When it is low or negative, either few coins are in profit, or profitable coins are in HODLer hands — two situations that limit short-term selling pressure.
Key zones
Absolute levels depend on the cycle phase. At the end of a bull run, Elastic Profit Supply can reach 10–12M BTC, creating a 'latent sell wall.' In deep bear market, the value can turn negative (profitable coins are mostly illiquid), indicating near-total exhaustion of potential sell pressure — an indication historically associated with capitulation zones.
What to observe
The divergence between Elastic Profit Supply and classic % Supply in Profit is the richest reading. If % in profit rises but Elastic Profit Supply stays stable, it means newly profitable coins are in HODLer hands — structurally robust. If both rise together, potential sell pressure increases proportionally to latent profit.
Historical context
Retrospective analysis shows Elastic Profit Supply reached its highest levels in December 2017, March–April 2021, and October–November 2021 — each time in the weeks preceding major corrections. Conversely, its lowest levels (< 2%) were observed in December 2018 and June 2022, corresponding to maximum capitulation zones.
Expert notes
⚠️ Trinity Exclusive Model — Elastic Profit Supply can be decomposed by price cohort (buyers at different levels) to identify which price levels create the most potential selling pressure. Combined with URPD, this cross-analysis reveals 'latent selling zones' — price levels where a high density of profitable and liquid coins is concentrated. It is one of the most powerful tools for anticipating on-chain resistance levels.
Common mistakes to avoid
A high Elastic Profit Supply level does not mean those coins WILL be sold — only that they COULD be. An address's past behaviour is not a guarantee of future behaviour. Furthermore, the 'liquid/illiquid' classification is based on imperfect heuristics: some HODLers appear liquid due to consolidations, and some traders appear illiquid during activity pauses.
Programmatic access
REST API
curl -sS \
'https://api.trinityinsights.io/api/v1/onchain/elastic-profit-supply/history?days=90' \
-H 'X-API-Key: $TRINITY_API_KEY'MCP server
{
"tool": "get_chart_value",
"metric_id": "elastic-profit-supply",
"timeframe": "1y"
}Required tier: performance. See the pricing grid for the tier list and the MCP documentation for multi-client configuration.
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Institutional disclaimer
Trinity Insights is an educational and analytical tool. The metric above does not constitute investment advice. Trinity Insights is not a Crypto-Asset Service Provider (CASP) registered under MiCA Regulation (EU) 2023/1114. See the full disclaimer.