Accumulation IntensityTRINITY EXCLUSIVE
EXCLUSIVE - Proprietary score measuring the 30-day change in illiquid (hodled/lost) supply as a percentage of total supply, then ranked by historical percentile and scaled to -100 to +100.
Trinity exclusive model
This metric is a proprietary Trinity Insights model. Its formula, inputs, weights and parameters are NOT disclosed. The page documents only the output (bounded scale, interpretation zones, historical context). Access to the score and its time series is via the REST API and the MCP server, subject to the required tier.
What is it?
Accumulation Intensity measures the 30-day change in illiquid supply (hodled or lost supply) as a percentage of total supply. This percentage is then ranked as a percentile against all history and scaled to -100 to +100. A score of +100 means the accumulation rate is at its all-time high; -100 means maximum distribution. Normalizing by total supply (not issuance) eliminates the structural halving bias.
How to read
Score > +50: strong net accumulation - more coins moving to dormant state than new issuance. Score 0: equilibrium. Score < -50: net distribution - coins leaving dormant state faster than new issuance. Extremes (> +80 or < -80) are rare and indicate significant behavioral changes.
Key zones
A persistent score > +80 indicates intense structural accumulation. A persistent score < -80 indicates structural distribution. When the score reaches extremes near +100, it indicates the accumulation rate is at its historical highs - consistent with phases where coins are aging without being spent.
What to observe
Score reversals (from positive to negative or vice-versa) indicate regime changes. A move from +80 to -20 in a few weeks indicates distribution beginning after accumulation. Persistence above +50 for several months is characteristic of prolonged structural accumulation phases (bear markets).
Historical context
The score is structurally positively biased because illiquid supply (hodled_or_lost) tends to increase over time (lost coins + HODLers). Strongly negative score phases correspond to euphoric bull markets where old coins are spent massively.
Expert notes
⚠️ Trinity Exclusive Model - the expanding percentile normalization (min 365 days) × 200 - 100 applied to the hodled.diff(30) / supply ratio is a proprietary formulation. The score can stay at +99 for extended periods if net hodling is sustained. The expanding window avoids overfitting on early data.
Common mistakes to avoid
A high score does not mean price will rise. It measures the structural accumulation rate, not market demand. The score can be high in a bear market (coins not moving from apathy, not conviction). Additionally, the hodled_or_lost_supply metric includes permanently lost coins, adding a structural upward bias.
Programmatic access
REST API
curl -sS \
'https://api.trinityinsights.io/api/v1/onchain/accumulation-intensity/history?days=90' \
-H 'X-API-Key: $TRINITY_API_KEY'MCP server
{
"tool": "get_chart_value",
"metric_id": "accumulation-intensity",
"timeframe": "1y"
}Required tier: performance. See the pricing grid for the tier list and the MCP documentation for multi-client configuration.
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Institutional disclaimer
Trinity Insights is an educational and analytical tool. The metric above does not constitute investment advice. Trinity Insights is not a Crypto-Asset Service Provider (CASP) registered under MiCA Regulation (EU) 2023/1114. See the full disclaimer.