Euphoria Zone Detector
Compare the BTC daily close with M(t) = 2.4 × SMA200(t) and U(t) = 3 × 10^-17 × days_since_genesis^5.8, evaluated on the same date. SMA200 is the arithmetic mean of the current close and the preceding daily closes across a complete calendar window; it needs every observation and never uses future prices. Missing days leave the curve unavailable. All dollar curves share one price axis.
What is it?
Compare the BTC daily close with M(t) = 2.4 × SMA200(t) and U(t) = 3 × 10^-17 × days_since_genesis^5.8, evaluated on the same date. SMA200 is the arithmetic mean of the current close and the preceding daily closes across a complete calendar window; it needs every observation and never uses future prices. Missing days leave the curve unavailable. All dollar curves share one price axis.
How to read
The main curve is the observed BTC close. The Mayer curve and the power-law curve are same-day valuation references. Compare their values vertically at the same date. The optional price overlay does not add a duplicate curve. The LOG toggle applies to the common price axis.
Key zones
Above Mayer and below the power-law boundary: the defined confluence zone, when the boundaries are in that order. Below Mayer: below its valuation threshold. Above the power-law curve: above this model reference. These thresholds are not calibrated to touch every cycle peak.
What to observe
Observe whether price crosses either same-day reference and how long it remains above or below it. Compare several cycles. A price outside the two curves is possible; their relationship is descriptive and does not establish a future target.
Historical context
This view combines the public Mayer Multiple framework with a power-law price reference. Historical extreme readings provide context, without proving that every cycle peak occurs inside this confluence zone.
Expert notes
The SMA window ends at the displayed day and requires a complete daily calendar. The power-law curve uses network age at that day with no time shift. The two models need not have the same ranking at every date. Neither curve is guaranteed resistance or support.
Common mistakes to avoid
Do not treat a valuation threshold as a forecast or as a boundary that must contain the price. An unavailable SMA at the start of the series or after a data gap is expected. A same-day comparison does not imply future knowledge.
Programmatic access
REST API
curl -sS \
'https://api.trinityinsights.io/api/v1/cycle-intelligence/metrics/cycle-euphoria-zone-detector/data?timeframe=90d' \
-H 'X-API-Key: $TRINITY_API_KEY'MCP server
{
"tool": "get_chart_value",
"metric_id": "cycle-euphoria-zone-detector",
"timeframe": "1y"
}Required tier: pro. See the pricing grid for the tier list and the MCP documentation for multi-client configuration.
Related metrics
Institutional disclaimer
Trinity Insights is an educational and analytical tool. The metric above does not constitute investment advice. Trinity Insights is not a Crypto-Asset Service Provider (CASP) registered under MiCA Regulation (EU) 2023/1114. See the full disclaimer.