Supply Absorption EngineTRINITY EXCLUSIVE
EXCLUSIVE - Oscillator bounded to ±3 describing illiquid supply absorption in relation to on-chain activity. Positive = healthy accumulation; negative = relative distribution.
Trinity exclusive model
This metric is a proprietary Trinity Insights model. Its formula, inputs, weights and parameters are NOT disclosed. The page documents only the output (bounded scale, interpretation zones, historical context). Access to the score and its time series is via the REST API and the MCP server, subject to the required tier.
What is it?
The Supply Absorption Engine is a proprietary Trinity oscillator describing illiquid supply absorption alongside on-chain activity. Positive values describe absorption; negative values describe relative distribution. Its construction is proprietary and not disclosed. The oscillator is bounded to ±3.
How to read
The oscillator swings between -3 and +3 around zero. Above zero: illiquid absorption is stronger than usual for this indicator - constructive reading. Below zero: absorption is weaker - cautionary indication. Divergences with BTC price are the most actionable reading: rising price + falling oscillator = fragile rally; falling price + rising oscillator = silent accumulation (bullish).
Key zones
Score > +2: exceptional absorption, observed during the most aggressive accumulation phases (Q4 2022, March 2020). Score +1 to +2: healthy absorption, structurally constructive. Score -1 to +1: neutral zone, no strong directional indication. Score < -1: relative distribution, observed during corrections and profit-taking. Score < -2: major distribution, observed during capitulations (May 2021, November 2022).
What to observe
Price/oscillator divergences are the most powerful indicator. In 2021, price was rising toward $64K while the oscillator deteriorated - the rally was not backed by accumulation, and correction followed. In December 2022, price was at lows but the oscillator was rising sharply - HODLers were massively accumulating in fear, a classic bottom indication. The rate of change (derivative) is as informative as the level.
Historical context
Major positive peaks were observed after the 2013, 2018, and 2022 capitulations - each time, illiquid supply massively absorbed coins distributed by weak hands. The deepest negative troughs coincided with the November 2021 distribution and the 2022 Luna/FTX debacle. The reading showed a 2-to-8 week lead on major price movements.
Expert notes
⚠️ Trinity Exclusive Model - the indicator draws on the public categories of on-chain activity, coin age and illiquid supply. Its exact construction is not published. Internal movements and consolidations can limit the reading. Cross-read MVRV to distinguish supply dynamics from valuation.
Common mistakes to avoid
A positive score does not mean price WILL rise - it means accumulation is stronger than usual for this indicator, which is structurally constructive but not sufficient alone. The same reading at different dates does not necessarily represent the same absolute accumulation intensity. Finally, the oscillator does not capture off-chain factors (regulation, macro, sentiment) that can dominate short-term price dynamics.
Programmatic access
REST API
curl -sS \
'https://api.trinityinsights.io/api/v1/onchain/metrics/supply-absorption-engine/data?timeframe=90d' \
-H 'X-API-Key: $TRINITY_API_KEY'MCP server
{
"tool": "get_chart_value",
"metric_id": "supply-absorption-engine",
"timeframe": "1y"
}Required tier: performance. See the pricing grid for the tier list and the MCP documentation for multi-client configuration.
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Institutional disclaimer
Trinity Insights is an educational and analytical tool. The metric above does not constitute investment advice. Trinity Insights is not a Crypto-Asset Service Provider (CASP) registered under MiCA Regulation (EU) 2023/1114. See the full disclaimer.