Trinity Liquidity Composite (TLC)TRINITY EXCLUSIVE
Trinity proprietary composite scored 0-100 that summarises the state of the global macro liquidity tide. Its construction and its inputs are not disclosed.
Trinity exclusive model
This metric is a proprietary Trinity Insights model. Its formula, inputs, weights and parameters are NOT disclosed. The page documents only the output (bounded scale, interpretation zones, historical context). Access to the score and its time series is via the REST API and the MCP server, subject to the required tier.
What is it?
TLC is a Trinity proprietary composite scored 0-100 that summarises the state of the global macro liquidity tide. The bounded score describes whether the macro liquidity environment is broadly expanding, contracting or neutral. Its construction and its inputs are proprietary and not disclosed.
How to read
Values above 70 indicate an expansionary liquidity regime. Values below 30 indicate a contractionary regime. The 50-line is the neutral level relative to the composite's own history. Vertical markers annotate FOMC decisions, ECB Governing Council rate decisions, BoJ policy meetings, and major liquidity regime shifts.
Key zones
• Above 80: Extremely expansionary regime - historical late-bear / early-bull liquidity contexts • 70-80: Expansionary regime - broadly favourable to risk assets • 50-70: Neutral-to-positive transition • 30-50: Neutral-to-negative transition, watch for regime reversals • Below 30: Contractionary regime - historical late-bull / early-bear contexts • Below 20: Extremely contractionary - broad monetary tightening in force
What to observe
• TLC crossing above 50 from sustained below: liquidity regime flip toward expansion, often early-cycle accumulation phase • TLC crossing below 50 from sustained above: liquidity regime flip toward contraction, late-cycle warning • TLC declining while equities rally: regime fragility, divergence between price and macro liquidity • TLC fall concentrated in one stress episode: localised move, rarely durable against a broad regime turn • Sustained TLC > 75: rare regime, often precedes durable risk asset rallies
Historical context
Across past Bitcoin cycles, TLC reached values above 80 during the post-COVID liquidity flood (March 2020-late 2021), the late-2023 disinflation pivot, and selected mid-cycle pause periods. Values below 30 marked the 2018 Fed quantitative tightening cycle, the 2022 quantitative tightening cycle, and brief stress events. Historical comparisons describe market regimes without publishing the composite construction.
Expert notes
⚠️ Trinity Exclusive Model - No industry reference publication. Trinity proprietary composite. Its construction and weighting are proprietary and not disclosed publicly. Data availability can limit the reading. Cross-rubric position: TLC operates in the Macro Intelligence scope. Distinct from on-chain liquidity flow indicators (which measure exchange reserves and stablecoin supply on-chain). The two readings are complementary: TLC = macro tradFi liquidity tide, on-chain flows = crypto-native liquidity flows.
Common mistakes to avoid
• 'TLC > 70 = automatic risk-on entry' - TLC is a regime indicator, not a timing tool. Liquidity regimes can persist for months without triggering immediate price moves. • 'TLC < 30 = automatic risk-off' - Contractionary regimes have historically lasted 6-18 months. Patience in transitions matters more than reaction to single readings. • 'TLC replaces individual macro readings' - TLC complements them. Read the score alongside the public macro readings shown next to it for diagnostic clarity. • 'High TLC with falling equities = TLC is broken' - Such divergences historically resolve via equity catch-up, not via a reversion of TLC.
Programmatic access
REST API
curl -sS \
'https://api.trinityinsights.io/api/v1/macro-intelligence/metrics/macro-v2-trinity-liquidity-composite/data?timeframe=90d' \
-H 'X-API-Key: $TRINITY_API_KEY'MCP server
{
"tool": "get_chart_value",
"metric_id": "macro-v2-trinity-liquidity-composite",
"timeframe": "1y"
}Required tier: performance. See the pricing grid for the tier list and the MCP documentation for multi-client configuration.
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Institutional disclaimer
Trinity Insights is an educational and analytical tool. The metric above does not constitute investment advice. Trinity Insights is not a Crypto-Asset Service Provider (CASP) registered under MiCA Regulation (EU) 2023/1114. See the full disclaimer.