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Taproot Supply Ratio

Percentage of total circulating BTC supply held in Taproot (P2TR) UTXOs. Measures actual economic migration to Bitcoin's latest script type - a purer adoption indicator than output count, which is inflated by dust and protocol overhead.

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What is it?

The Taproot Supply Ratio is the percentage of total Bitcoin supply currently held in UTXOs using the P2TR (Pay-to-Taproot) script. Unlike output count (inflated by dust and inscriptions), this metric measures the real economic value that has migrated to Bitcoin's latest script type. It's the 'vote by capital' for Taproot - more significant than the vote by transaction count.

How to read

A single ascending curve (area chart). In the initial post-Taproot activation phase, the ratio remains in a pre-adoption stage (sub-1% of supply order of magnitude). The slope indicates economic migration speed. Compare with output share to gauge the economic gap. A ratio that doubles in 6 months would be a strong indication of institutional/exchange adoption. BTC price is overlaid for context.

Key zones

< 0.5%: embryonic stage. 0.5-2%: early majority - large exchanges starting cold storage migration. 2-10%: acceleration phase - wallets defaulting to P2TR. > 10%: maturation - P2TR is the standard. For historical reference, P2WPKH exceeded 40% of supply after several years of migration post-SegWit activation.

What to observe

Discrete jumps in the curve mark large holder/exchange migrations (visible because supply-weighted). The long-term trend (1y+) is the most reliable adoption indicator. BTC price corrections can temporarily slow migration (holders don't restructure during volatility).

Historical context

The P2WPKH Supply Ratio followed a classic S-curve: slow between 2017 and 2020 (a few percent), acceleration 2020-2023 (tens of percent), then saturation regime in the 40%+ zone. P2TR is starting its own S-curve, still in its initial flat phase. SegWit history suggests P2TR's inflection point is still ahead - likely triggered by a major exchange migration.

Expert notes

This ratio uses p2tr_supply (unspent BTC in P2TR) / supply (total supply). Total supply includes probably-lost coins (~3-4M BTC), which slightly underestimates the true 'active' ratio. For a purer ratio, divide by active supply (moved in last 5 years). Long-term, this metric allows measuring 'quantum exposure': BTC outside P2TR/P2WPKH are potentially more vulnerable to future quantum computers.

Common mistakes to avoid

This ratio does NOT measure 'user' adoption. A single exchange migrating cold wallets can jump the ratio from 0.3% to 1% overnight. It's a supply distribution metric, not user adoption. Additionally, the ratio can decrease if BTC is spent from P2TR without replacement (normal UTXO turnover).

Programmatic access

REST API

curl -sS \
  'https://api.trinityinsights.io/api/v1/onchain/taproot-supply-ratio/history?days=90' \
  -H 'X-API-Key: $TRINITY_API_KEY'

MCP server

{
  "tool": "get_chart_value",
  "metric_id": "taproot-supply-ratio",
  "timeframe": "1y"
}

Required tier: free. See the pricing grid for the tier list and the MCP documentation for multi-client configuration.

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Institutional disclaimer

Trinity Insights is an educational and analytical tool. The metric above does not constitute investment advice. Trinity Insights is not a Crypto-Asset Service Provider (CASP) registered under MiCA Regulation (EU) 2023/1114. See the full disclaimer.