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Euphoria ZoneTRINITY EXCLUSIVE

Trinity-exclusive composite cycle-state score bounded 0-100 describing on-chain market conditions. Its construction is proprietary and not disclosed. Reads euphoria zones above 75 and capitulation zones below 25.

Tier performanceOn-chain Bitcoincompositeexclusivetrinityeuphoriacapitulationcycle-state

Trinity exclusive model

This metric is a proprietary Trinity Insights model. Its formula, inputs, weights and parameters are NOT disclosed. The page documents only the output (bounded scale, interpretation zones, historical context). Access to the score and its time series is via the REST API and the MCP server, subject to the required tier.

What is it?

Euphoria Zone is a Trinity-proprietary multi-factor composite score of the Bitcoin cycle state. It aggregates several on-chain valuation and profit-taking indicators, and outputs a score bounded between 0 and 100. High score (> 75) indicates distributive euphoria zones typical of cycle tops; low score (< 25) indicates deep capitulation zones typical of cycle bottoms.

How to read

Read the score as a cycle-relative barometer: over its own historical window, 0 = most depressed state observed, 100 = most euphoric state observed. Score 25-75 = neutral zone, historical average state. Score > 75 = distributive euphoria zone (top alert). Score < 25 = deep capitulation zone (accumulation indicator).

Key zones

Deep capitulation zone 0-25: institutional accumulation indicator, historically aligned with cycle bottoms. Neutral zone 25-75: historical average state, market in regular cycle. Distributive euphoria zone 75-100: pre-top marker, historically aligned with cycle-top distributions. The score rarely stays at extremes for more than a few weeks.

What to observe

Watch transitions to extremes: a sustained rise toward > 75 over several weeks indicates ongoing final distribution. Conversely, a sustained descent toward < 25 over several weeks indicates structural deep capitulation. Reversals after extremes are historically more significant than the absolute levels themselves - a return from > 75 to the neutral zone often marks the structural top.

Historical context

Euphoria Zone describes macro Bitcoin cycle states on a relative scale. Its construction is proprietary and not disclosed. Reading note: the score may display NaNs on the first points of the series - expected behavior for historical starts.

Expert notes

⚠️ Trinity Exclusive Model - composite cycle-state score distinct from the Trinity Composite Score. The Trinity Composite Score is a tactical multi-rubric global score; Euphoria Zone is strictly specialized on the on-chain cycle state and provides a relative reading of that state. Both indicators are complementary: Trinity Composite provides the macro multi-dimensional read, Euphoria Zone provides the pure on-chain cycle read.

Common mistakes to avoid

A score > 75 does not automatically indicate a top - it indicates a statistical euphoria state relative to its own historical window. The market can stay in the > 75 zone for several weeks before the actual top. Conversely, a score < 25 does not guarantee the bottom - it is a probabilistic indicator that must be confirmed by macro fundamentals and institutional flows.

Programmatic access

REST API

curl -sS \
  'https://api.trinityinsights.io/api/v1/onchain/metrics/euphoria-zone/data?timeframe=90d' \
  -H 'X-API-Key: $TRINITY_API_KEY'

MCP server

{
  "tool": "get_chart_value",
  "metric_id": "euphoria-zone",
  "timeframe": "1y"
}

Required tier: performance. See the pricing grid for the tier list and the MCP documentation for multi-client configuration.

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Institutional disclaimer

Trinity Insights is an educational and analytical tool. The metric above does not constitute investment advice. Trinity Insights is not a Crypto-Asset Service Provider (CASP) registered under MiCA Regulation (EU) 2023/1114. See the full disclaimer.