Methodology · Proprietary indicator
Trinity Composite Index (TCI)
TCI is Trinity's flagship synthesis layer. Rather than asking a reader to interpret many separate on-chain, macro and cycle metrics in parallel, it distils the cross-engine picture into one bounded 0-100 position. A low reading frames an accumulation / early-bull backdrop; a high reading frames a distribution / cycle-top backdrop. It is designed to be read as a position, not as a buy or sell trigger.
Concept overview
TCI is Trinity's flagship synthesis layer. Rather than asking a reader to interpret many separate on-chain, macro and cycle metrics in parallel, it distils the cross-engine picture into one bounded 0-100 position. A low reading frames an accumulation / early-bull backdrop; a high reading frames a distribution / cycle-top backdrop. It is designed to be read as a position, not as a buy or sell trigger.
Phase interpretation (0-100 scale)
- 0-25Accumulation / early bull
- 25-50Mid bull / early expansion
- 50-75Late bull / late expansion
- 75-100Distribution / cycle-top zone
These bands are interpretive: they are read as a position, never as a buy or sell trigger.
Historical context
Across the four completed Bitcoin cycles (2013, 2017, 2021 and the current one), the composite has historically drifted toward its upper band during euphoric expansions and toward its lower band during deep bear markets. Reading TCI against the cycle it belongs to — rather than in absolute terms — is the intended lens.
Strengths & limitations
TCI excels at compressing a multi-dimensional picture into one legible position and at contextualising the current cycle against prior ones. Its limitation is the flip side of that strength: as a synthesis it smooths away the granular detail of any single dimension, so it is best read alongside the underlying engine readings rather than in isolation.
Why the formula is not disclosed
Trinity Composite Index is a proprietary Trinity Insights analytical model. Its exact formula, inputs, weights, windows and number of components are not disclosed (EXCLUSIVE Trinity). Only the bounded 0-100 reading and its interpretation are exposed. Access is via the Trinity Insights dashboard (Pro tier or above), the MCP server and the REST API.
Related composites
Regulatory status and legal notice
Trinity Insights is an analytical tool for Bitcoin on-chain and macro-intelligence, intended for educational and informational purposes only. Content provided does not constitute investment advice, personalized recommendation, or invitation to buy or sell any asset. Trinity Insights is not a registered Financial Investment Advisor (CIF) under the French Monetary and Financial Code, not a registered or licensed Digital Asset Service Provider (PSAN) under the French AMF, and not a Crypto-Asset Service Provider (CASP) under MiCA Regulation (EU) 2023/1114. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trinity Insights does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or relevance of the data presented. Always do your own research before making any decision.