Quantile Zones Cold / Warm / Hot
Adaptive valuation framework derived from the standard Koenker-Bassett 1978 quantile regression statistical method. The chart fits log10(price) ∝ days_since_genesis on a rolling 4-year window, then projects four percentile band edges at each date: q05, q33, q66 and q95. The chart segments price action into five regions: extreme undervaluation (below q05, 5% of days), Cold (q05 to q33, accumulation regime), Warm (q33 to q66, neutral mid-cycle), Hot (q66 to q95, expansion), extreme overheat (above q95, 5% of days). Because q33 and q66 are each crossed a third of the time by definition, the price necessarily leaves the inner band; the q05 and q95 borders sit either side of 90% of all days, so a reader can tell an ordinary excursion from an extreme one. The bands compress with network maturation, preserving cycle-comparability across all 3 verified cycles.
Full educational module - Trinity subscribers
The detailed educational module for Quantile Zones Cold / Warm / Hot — what it is, how to read it, key zones, what to observe, historical context and common misinterpretations — is reserved to authenticated Trinity Insights subscribers. Trinity uses the Education-Driven Chart Design (EDCD) methodology to write each module bilingual FR/EN, atemporal, and AMF-compliant.
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{
"tool": "get_chart_value",
"metric_id": "cycle-quantile-zones-cold-warm-hot",
"timeframe": "1y",
"language": "en"
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Regulatory status and legal notice
Trinity Insights is an analytical tool for Bitcoin on-chain and macro-intelligence, intended for educational and informational purposes only. Content provided does not constitute investment advice, personalized recommendation, or invitation to buy or sell any asset. Trinity Insights is not a registered Financial Investment Advisor (CIF) under the French Monetary and Financial Code, not a registered or licensed Digital Asset Service Provider (PSAN) under the French AMF, and not a Crypto-Asset Service Provider (CASP) under MiCA Regulation (EU) 2023/1114. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trinity Insights does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or relevance of the data presented. Always do your own research before making any decision.