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cyclecycle-timingTier: pro

Halving Seasonality Map

Maps two recurring time windows onto the Bitcoin log price line, both measured in weeks elapsed since each halving and derived entirely from the real price record: the window in which cycle tops have historically formed, and the window in which cycle bottoms have historically formed. Each window is the empirical envelope of where price actually peaked and bottomed, not a fixed assumption. The reference is computed on the mature cycles only (the 2016, 2020 and 2024 halvings for tops; 2016 and 2020 for bottoms); the first cycle around the 2012 halving is displayed but greyed out and excluded, because that early, thin market topped far earlier and would distort the envelope. Every real top and bottom is marked with a dot, each halving with a vertical pin, and a cursor shows the current position in weeks-since-halving relative to the two windows. The upcoming windows the market has not yet reached, together with the next cycle, are projected forward in a lighter, dashed style. A descriptive reading of a historical regularity, not a timing instruction.

Full educational module - Trinity subscribers

The detailed educational module for Halving Seasonality Map — what it is, how to read it, key zones, what to observe, historical context and common misinterpretations — is reserved to authenticated Trinity Insights subscribers. Trinity uses the Education-Driven Chart Design (EDCD) methodology to write each module bilingual FR/EN, atemporal, and AMF-compliant.

Tier required to read full educational module:pro

Access programmatically via Trinity MCP

Trinity subscribers can query this chart programmatically from Claude Desktop, Cursor, ChatGPT, Gemini, Windsurf, VS Code Copilot or Perplexity using the Trinity Insights MCP Server. The MCP scope reflects exactly your subscription tier.

{
  "tool": "get_chart_value",
  "metric_id": "cycle-halving-seasonality",
  "timeframe": "1y",
  "language": "en"
}

Bitcoin / on-chain / macro concept definitions

Looking for the general definition of an industry-standard term (MVRV, SOPR, NUPL, halving, hash rate, etc.) ? See the public Trinity glossary — concept definitions are atemporal and open access. Chart-specific educational modules remain subscriber-only.

Regulatory status and legal notice

Trinity Insights is an analytical tool for Bitcoin on-chain and macro-intelligence, intended for educational and informational purposes only. Content provided does not constitute investment advice, personalized recommendation, or invitation to buy or sell any asset. Trinity Insights is not a registered Financial Investment Advisor (CIF) under the French Monetary and Financial Code, not a registered or licensed Digital Asset Service Provider (PSAN) under the French AMF, and not a Crypto-Asset Service Provider (CASP) under MiCA Regulation (EU) 2023/1114. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trinity Insights does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or relevance of the data presented. Always do your own research before making any decision.